Alex Smart |
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Alex Smart Sports- Where winning means everything. Testing long term $77000.00 plus dime player run! |
YESTERDAY'S PLAYS | ||
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 06, 2024 Tigers vs Guardians |
UNDER 7½ -115 |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
Cleveland starter McKenzie has pitched well of late as evident by his 1-0 record along with a 2.81 ERA in his L/3 starts. He started slowly this season because of injuries he sustained last year, but now looks to be in top form. Note: McKenzie has pitched well in his career against the Tigers , going 3-2 with a stingy 1.05 ERA while striking out 50 in 43 innings across seven starts. Meanwhile, the Tigers will reply with Flaherty who has fanned 50 and walked just five over 36 innings this year. Im expecting these viable pitchers to long and strong here today and for their viable bullpens when need to be solid as well. Detroit owns a 2.09 bullpen ERA at home, and the Guardians pen own a 2.56 road ERA . Both these hurlers last three starts vs these teams have gone under the total with none of the games eclipsing this offered totals number. CLEVELAND is 23-4 UNDER vs. good defensive catchers - allowing 0.5 or less SB's/game over the last 2 seasons with a combined average of 6.1 rpg scored.
HINCH is 25-13 UNDER after scoring and allowing 5 runs or less last 4 games as the manager of DETROIT which was the case last time out in a 5-2 loss to the Yankees with a combined average of 7.2 rpg scored. Play under |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
MLB | May 06, 2024 Giants vs Phillies |
Phillies -190 at circa |
Won $100 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The Philles have won 9 of their L/10 and 5 straight and have momentum entering this game against a road weary SF team that is playing their 7 straight road game, having already lost 6 of those tilts.Considering the Phillies starter Zach Wheeler is on a heater, winning his L/3 trips to the hill while garnering a minuscule 0.49 ERA it will not be a hard decision to lay a little extra lumber in this spot play with the home side. SAN FRANCISCO is 13-37 against the money line in road games vs. an NL starting pitcher whose WHIP is 1.250 or better over the last 3 seasons. SAN FRANCISCO is 1-11 against the money line in road games after 6 or more consecutive road games over the last 2 seasons. PHILADELPHIA is 47-13 against the money line vs. teams outscored by opp by 1 or more runs/game on the season over the last 3 seasons. MLB Road underdogs with a money line of +175 to +250 (SAN FRANCISCO) - bad offensive team (3.8or less runs/game) against a good starting pitcher (ERA 3.70 or better) (NL), with an on base percentage of .310 or worse over their last 20 games are 1-35 L/5 seasons for a 97% conversion rate for bettors. Play on the Philadelphia Phillies to win |
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Matchup | Selection | W/L |
NBA | May 06, 2024 Wolves vs Nuggets |
Nuggets -5½ -109 at BetVegas |
Lost $109.0 |
Play Type: Premium | ||
The defending NBA Champs went up against a top tier D, last time out, and failed to get the victory in the fist game of this play off series. Both teams played a grinding style of hoops, but the visitors made more shots in clutch situations. Im betting the Nuggets are now wide awake and must up their offensive play, which Im betting Jokic and company can accomplish in rebound mode. DENVER is 9-1 ATS off an upset loss to a division rival as a favorite over the last 2 seasons with the average ppg diff clicking in at +14.7. NBA Home favorites of 3.5 to 9.5 points (DENVER) - in a playoff game, in the 2nd game of a playoff series are 26-7 L/5 seasons for a 79% conversion rate. Play on Denver to cover |
SERVICE BIO |
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Experience & Awards I have been wagering professionally on sports and horse racing for 30 years. My picks have been documented for 22 years. I was the 2009 NFL Handicapper of the Year in 2009 in a prestigious event. I won the Ultimate Football NFL Championship in 2006. I have been an NBA World Champion with 9 winning seasons the last 11 years. I also continue to beat the College Hoops book makers with a high volume attack on a yearly basis. Handicapping Approach I have a firm belief in my systems. There is not a sport I feel I can not beat. My handicapping can be best referred to as the 'The Smart Money Approach". I leave no stone unturned. I have a large database of information and statistics. I also take into consideration injuries, current and historical trends, and form. I also factor in the weather, surface conditions, and line movement. Sports Betting Is An Investment Many gamblers offer causal explanations for long runs of good and bad performance. The same is true of financial analysts. The records of bettors and investors show the same variable successes and failures. Both investment opportunities show significant variables and both can give the investor an advantage. You need to do the proper research to consider all the facts. If you do so a long term profit is more than attainable. I think sports betting is even better than the stock market. The investor/bettor has much more control over his funds. You can take a short break, and almost always know your bankroll has not been untouched. In the markets you are leaving your 401K and other mutual investments in the hands of a volatile marketplace. Plus, you are being torched for huge handling fees by brokers on individual investments. These fees would make sports book managers drool. I am not saying it is easy making a living from sports betting. But, the small percent who do consistently beat the books have a much better rate of return than that of any market investor! This is the outlook I have on every wager I place in the sports wagering markets. I take my portfolio very seriously! Money Management To be a successful and profitable sports bettor you must always have a long term goal. Set that standard before you begin. You need to set aside a fairly substantial bankroll. If you want to be conservative you would wager no more than 1-2% of your bankroll per game. No more than 3% on the best bets. This might seem a little on the low side. But, this is a long and turbulent battle with the books. You will be happy that you practiced good money management and frugality. Here are some additional guidelines I recommend. 1. Shop for your best possible lines (rogue lines) from the most reputable sources. 2. Stay disciplined and do not stray from recommended bankroll allocation on individual wagers. Chasing your wagers never a good idea. 3. Always keep in mind that your bankroll is your life line. It must be treated the same way you would treat finances allocated for any business venture. 4. Buy off the hook on key numbers. 5. Understanding the importance and the art of middling. 6. Keep a record of all your wagers and results and use them as part of over all statistical data base. These are some important factors that will help you in your quest for long term profits. I leave you with a thought from the late great Jimmy the Greek. The house does not beat the player, it just gives him the opportunity to beat himself. *All selections have the same allocated bankroll %(which equals 1 betting unit). |